Real estate market reports are published regularly by brokerages, associations, and data providers. They contain useful information about market conditions – but the metrics they use are often presented without explanation, and sellers who rely on them without understanding what each number actually measures can draw incorrect conclusions.
Here is a guide to reading the metrics in a New York real estate market report accurately.
Median Sale Price vs. Average Sale Price
Both metrics measure the central tendency of sale prices, but they respond differently to outliers.
Median sale price is the middle value – the price at which half of homes sold for more and half sold for less. It is not influenced by a single extraordinary sale at the top or bottom of the range. For most purposes, median sale price is the more meaningful and stable measure of where the typical transaction is occurring.
Average (mean) sale price is calculated by adding all sale prices and dividing by the number of transactions. It is more sensitive to outliers. A handful of very high-priced sales can pull the average up significantly while the median remains stable. When average and median diverge significantly, it often means the high end of the market is active while the mid-range is softer – or vice versa.
When a report says prices are up 8%, ask: is that median or average? The distinction matters.
Months of Supply (Absorption Rate)
Months of supply measures how long it would take, at the current pace of sales, to sell all homes currently listed for sale. It's calculated by dividing current active inventory by the monthly rate of closed sales.
Under 3 months: Seller's market. Strong demand relative to supply, competitive conditions, upward pressure on prices.
3 to 6 months: Balanced market. Neither buyer nor seller has a decisive advantage. Prices are generally stable.
Over 6 months: Buyer's market. Supply exceeds demand, buyers have negotiating leverage, prices face downward pressure.
This number is reported at the overall market level, but it varies meaningfully by price range and property type within any given market. A market with 3 months of supply overall may have 1.5 months of supply for homes priced under $600,000 and 8 months for homes priced above $1.5 million. Know the absorption rate for your specific price tier.
Days on Market (DOM)
Days on market measures how long, on average, homes are taking to sell from listing to contract. It is one of the most useful indicators of real-time market conditions and demand.
A falling days-on-market indicates increasing buyer urgency – the market is getting hotter. A rising days-on-market indicates slowing demand. Year-over-year comparisons of DOM are particularly useful for understanding how the current market compares to the same season in prior years.
Watch for how DOM is calculated – some reports measure from original list date to contract, others from most recent list date. A home that was relisted after a failed contract or price reduction may appear to have a short DOM on the second listing while having actually spent 120 days on market total.
List-to-Sale-Price Ratio
This metric expresses the sale price as a percentage of the list price at the time of sale. A ratio above 100% means homes are selling above asking – an indicator of competitive conditions and multiple offers. Below 100% means homes are selling below asking, indicating buyer negotiating leverage.
In New York's competitive market segments during peak conditions, list-to-sale-price ratios above 105% are not unusual. In softer segments or slower periods, ratios of 94% to 97% indicate more buyer leverage.
This metric tells you how accurately homes are being priced relative to what buyers will pay – and how much negotiating room the market is actually producing.
New Listings vs. Closed Sales
The relationship between new listings coming to market and closed sales tells you whether inventory is building, stable, or shrinking. If new listings consistently exceed closed sales, inventory grows and conditions soften. If closed sales exceed new listings, inventory shrinks and conditions tighten.
Tracking this ratio over several months tells you which direction the market is moving before the direction becomes obvious in price data.
I provide clients with regular, plain-language market updates throughout our work together – so that pricing and timing decisions are grounded in current data, not assumptions. Call me at (321) 447-4259 or visit movewithricky.com.
Rakesh (Ricky) Khanna | Licensed Real Estate Salesperson
Better Homes and Gardens Real Estate Realty Connect
Call or text: (321) 447-4259 | movewithricky.com
